Cody Ponce
Toronto Blue Jays vs Colorado Rockies • 7:07 PM
Projected K
3.5
underTier AEdge 36.3%EV 0.741
P25 2.0Line 5.5P75 5.0
Daily board
Strikeout edge dashboard
Ranked by projected edge with game-by-game drilldown, live model distribution ranges, and sportsbook line overlays.
Board date
2026-03-30
Latest successful run
Last refresh
Mar 30, 4:35 PM
success
Games / props
14 / 19
Pitcher cards after filters
Model / distribution
negative_binomial
alpha 0.0181
EV-ranked board
Chase Burns
Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates • 6:40 PM
Projected K
5.1
underTier AEdge 25.9%EV 0.438
P25 3.0Line 7.5P75 7.0
Justin Verlander
Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks • 10:10 PM
Projected K
5.3
overTier AEdge 15.8%EV 0.263
P25 4.0Line 3.5P75 7.0
Roki Sasaki
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians • 10:10 PM
Projected K
3.3
underTier AEdge 15.1%EV 0.348
P25 2.0Line 3.5P75 4.0
Jacob Lopez
Athletics vs Atlanta Braves • 7:15 PM
Projected K
4.2
underTier AEdge 13.2%EV 0.217
P25 3.0Line 5.5P75 6.0
Edward Cabrera
Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Angels • 7:40 PM
Projected K
6.0
underTier AEdge 12.7%EV 0.265
P25 4.0Line 6.5P75 8.0
Braxton Ashcraft
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds • 6:40 PM
Projected K
4.4
underTier BEdge 10.1%EV 0.164
P25 3.0Line 5.5P75 6.0
Chris Bassitt
Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers • 6:35 PM
Projected K
5.6
overTier BEdge 9.4%EV 0.171
P25 4.0Line 4.5P75 7.0
Simeon Woods Richardson
Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals • 4:10 PM
Projected K
4.4
overTier BEdge 8.4%EV 0.155
P25 3.0Line 3.5P75 6.0
Landen Roupp
San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres • 9:40 PM
Projected K
3.7
underTier BEdge 8.2%EV 0.138
P25 2.0Line 4.5P75 5.0
Lance McCullers Jr.
Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox • 8:10 PM
Projected K
4.3
underTier BEdge 6.1%EV 0.122
P25 3.0Line 4.5P75 6.0
Kyle Harrison
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays • 7:40 PM
Projected K
4.6
underTier BEdge 6.0%EV 0.131
P25 3.0Line 4.5P75 6.0
Foster Griffin
Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies • 6:40 PM
Projected K
4.0
underTier CEdge 5.8%EV 0.103
P25 3.0Line 4.5P75 5.0
Chris Paddack
Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox • 6:40 PM
Projected K
3.7
underTier CEdge 3.4%EV 0.072
P25 2.0Line 3.5P75 5.0
Bryce Elder
Atlanta Braves vs Athletics • 7:15 PM
Projected K
5.4
overTier CEdge 2.6%EV 0.044
P25 4.0Line 4.5P75 7.0
Kyle Leahy
St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets • 7:45 PM
Projected K
4.0
overTier CEdge 1.6%EV 0.030
P25 3.0Line 3.5P75 5.0
Kris Bubic
Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins • 4:10 PM
Projected K
4.3
overTier CEdge 1.5%EV 0.024
P25 3.0Line 3.5P75 6.0
Taijuan Walker
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals • 6:40 PM
Projected K
3.6
overTier CEdge 1.3%EV 0.028
P25 2.0Line 3.5P75 5.0
Ryan Johnson
Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago Cubs • 7:40 PM
Projected K
4.2
underTier CEdge 0.7%EV 0.013
P25 3.0Line 4.5P75 6.0